新手上路
版主

- 积分
- 10
- 获赠鲜花
- 2 朵
- 个人财富
- 100 金币
- 注册时间
- 2006-3-26
|
友情提示: 请千万不要登入陌生网站输入QQ号和密码,以防诈骗。
联系我时,请说明是从哪儿看到的,谢谢。
虽然知道离Busiess020 的最后考试还有一段时间。但是贴出来给大家先有个映像,别到考试的时候抱佛脚。我还会陆续贴出History028E的去年考试卷子。
+ V7 F5 A$ K% E$ z2 L6 {
. C0 y# w# ]/ Q3 e2 n$ y' FGM Overview0 T4 c, v) m5 f5 L
• Role, Timing, Issues/Decisions, C&Cs" V( H+ W# ^4 d8 M, ^& |+ w: C0 S* ~
• Objectives9 i5 S+ k/ f2 p U5 ^* G+ O
– What do we “WANT” to do?
3 i# ~! B& C' E) C. d* I• External Analysis
; W+ H: G& p3 }. S( P) X+ T0 J( O0 n– What do we “NEED” to do?
, O5 u q" g# ^* I– PEST, Consumer, Competition, Trade
+ D) _$ L: `2 J2 B. r5 ]: y( {• opportunities & threats
2 o, y+ Z8 [5 t5 M– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs5 V" y7 u3 D. H
• Internal Analysis
9 t; u, \# F0 \) ~* o( F– What “CAN” we do?
, E' g0 O4 H) W3 ^- u. O– Finance, Marketing, Ops, HR1 [2 N( L5 T& O! S# ]" r
• abilities, strengths & weaknesses
3 c9 Z. Z/ ?( u; C4 E# |– IMPLICATIONS: KSFs, CORPORATE CAPABILITIES
+ |& Y, j; m" l
1 F7 r l# \0 m- @• Alternative Evaluation# O# t) x7 t! L2 X& ~6 ]& l
– What are the options? q. l. X9 K1 c/ Y
– Evaluate the pros & cons of the options* @$ M( e. ~. F" A( J* ]& O
– How does this option “FIT”?
; ^3 b, i4 d [% M( w– (you may be able to eliminate options based exclusively on the poor “FIT”qualitatively - if so, make sure you explain why this option was nixed)
5 ?' ]3 Z7 z; Q+ ?: o8 D– Financial Feasibility (of AT LEAST 2-3 options that might “work”) - a$ d1 V8 |6 ?5 C+ v6 N
7 A p" j. K, h6 d4 P$ |; X
• Decision0 p1 J; ]4 `9 d* I
– Justify why you chose a particular option(s).
3 V k/ A7 p- Q; u9 c. c1 F– YOU SHOULD BE CONVINCING
& M5 |) ]* n3 O: h' M1 g• Which strategy best meets the firm’s objectives?
+ t2 h( \7 i$ j0 @/ @( B$ x3 v• Does it satisfy the personal objectives as well?
! C) f* M5 A9 }& Y• Have you addressed the cons of the chosen alternative?
3 w. ]8 U2 ] z0 P- d% ?* L: ?. q• Is this decision consistent with the analysis you’ve done? EXPLAIN! (FITS); C# S3 `/ U* {& T- i( _
• Why NOT the other options?* N: {# O- j6 w
• How does this choice affect Finance, Marketing, Ops and HR? What changes* H7 n% F% A2 [8 k" ^6 U! c
need to be made?1 I5 A* N' }( J9 z7 Y
) P" l" _) W7 m7 y6 z
• Action Plan3 X4 h; w; L+ y) }3 q( A
• Map out a clear and precise implementation plan which includes;7 O# p% z% v F% N% a; ~( }
– details which address what steps you have to take to implement your$ ]( `2 T3 m/ p2 `2 H+ r6 G4 @6 \. U
decision
1 v! U! z$ A! L. ~, z– details about timing# q; o/ f& X8 s* Y3 h" c. u
– details about WHO will be responsible for accomplishing the ‘task’7 J$ y7 q/ y% h( B. v$ z
– how will you follow-up your plan (measure success); h! z0 R$ G% Y$ o. E" B- s$ j. [: T( E
– make sure to consider both the short term and long term% f% J0 R; F, G% R1 Z, H! ~
8 Y% w( Y3 a- c) iFirm Valuation
( ~' Q, s7 |, w( C• Used to help managers determine the “price” of a company.2 x+ M" R. P- D
• 3 methods of valuing a firm;8 T! Q9 s t+ r0 K; n
– Net Book Value6 s5 D5 O- I" I9 f7 g2 q
– Economic Appraisal
% v; n1 r% h5 _8 d3 J– Capitalization of Earnings
9 m& c7 F6 t) ]! t• Using all 3 methods (if possible) helps us to determine a RANGE of what the
- M H8 I/ `$ V6 F1 b: Gcompany is worth.9 Y) o" S5 c5 n' e& R
• THINK!!! What are you really selling? Will anyone pay for it? How much will they pay??? U1 T" f% y: A% W5 q- v! r
. k& }5 C) k! _0 M
Net Book Value (NBV)
; g7 }$ ?4 G& U( R" W& l– Total Assets - Total Liabilities7 Q( t$ [& R- U& Q% O) R
• a.k.a.. the equity5 i) z8 F4 G# x i
– Does not account for the present market value of the assets
+ ^" t: O! q! J5 u6 y. r– Calculated using the most recent given balance sheet
2 y$ G" ~; m& k2 o& |– Preferred method for banks, creditors, and/or buyers who are interested in selling off the assets of the business* s* a6 B1 L* a
# _% i, O) P6 |0 {& _5 g! T# X
Economic Appraisal (EA)
1 R/ E# X& _$ j+ X! R– Similar to NBV, but tries to reflect the current market value of the assets! P+ l/ k* Z$ M+ ~6 h' G4 m- F( Y
– Total Appraised Assets – Total Liabilities
# O1 \4 z, T9 d# c% P, Y– Preferred by buyers who are interested in a company for its assets
* I' I8 S# [3 _: z ^* x; h; a) Q% ~- r: }9 z- q
Capitalization of Earnings (CE)& Y% E1 f! d/ s' C; [! o
– Focuses on the I/S instead of the B/S1 H- N2 ?& T* T2 c7 Q" l# M7 W
• Attempt to value the company in terms of the future income it may provide.# F, l) _" D: }" v" ^# S
– NPAT * P/E ratio = value
7 k" o( ?! d4 W+ _1 Z, n! H* q– Must evaluate two different earnings figures (to determine risk & range); ^! e1 Q* T! ] h8 H4 Z# H
• Assuming changes (projected statement)) [! e( s$ [& b: T2 D6 _5 y7 G. L
• Assuming no changes (current given I/S)0 k0 j/ v+ v, p3 Z. m7 P. P# K' _
– Select a reasonable P/E multiple$ }/ Q+ h9 {5 l9 r
– Preferred by buyers interested in the ongoing operation of the company (i.e.taking over as management)- `8 W0 b, c" X0 `7 g8 c
5 A" p m" C$ \) }2 E) g# N; v• P/E Multiple
6 t4 H# _+ G! J" p; ]0 I5 z– Rules of thumb;) ^1 I' g& @' i( t ^" d% f
• Mature industries with stable earnings tend to have multiples) R7 G" I" ^6 s1 Q5 @
from 5 to 15.# f1 c9 A/ Y- j: r7 ~" d! J
• High growth industries tend to have multiples exceeding 20.3 o* N$ ]2 l' X+ ~
• “Growth is good; risk is rotten!”
4 M5 Q, l+ i c; J! @– growth increases a multiple
9 C; I0 Z* N0 a– risk decreases a multiple7 U7 \1 ~' V; f. L6 w
5 {- Q- {# h: V
Their Associated Ratios
- c+ n* F1 q' [8 O• Profitability;5 C d8 C6 ^$ b- b4 T& [1 \
– Business goal - to make $$
" r" Y. n& R' ]1 v |0 s& ]– Ratios measures how much money we had to spend to make $X in sales
+ I4 u0 @/ Y+ l6 V5 ^' ?• Stability;
/ b& N( B' o8 e. P– Business goal - to have a stable financial structure (balance its ownership of assets with debt and equity)
8 V! j" Q6 G6 M! \- |" h( D3 f# K– Ratios measure the firm’s means of financing assets and ability to pay interest on debts$ S7 K d$ a- p/ g; b
9 Q( W9 b8 Y0 u5 Financial Goals &Their Associated Ratios7 r ?2 a; \4 ?
• Liquidity;
; _) ^# \- d( N/ Q– Business goal - ability to meet s-t obligations: ^4 T# o8 F% F- Z
– Ratios measure how liquid the firm is (how able the firm is to pay its shortterm: x4 n$ m) |9 j- f- N5 ^
obligations)
3 l0 m! y y1 S9 V3 ]$ I+ i• Efficiency;
8 v( j2 K; T( U- `7 P3 U2 c2 S– Business goal - to efficiently use assets# g0 X- [3 I7 o
– Ratios tell us how efficiently we are using our investments
$ C" l+ r7 V/ R x: w9 @/ t% T7 i2 [; r9 E2 M& a
• Growth;1 j: t9 s$ d7 |8 o5 E/ z1 i# C
– Business goal - to increase in size
: ]1 n$ N b% z' U& c– Ratios tell us whether the company is achieving any growth& Z& K. P7 H6 F0 ]- U; G! G: m
5 y3 ]/ o! r: z+ B% EInterpreting the Ratios
1 ]; W# A+ H" x4 e' H: t• Profitability;5 E y. Q, e$ q. N. n3 l6 E4 [
– Vertical Analysis (of I/S)
( X$ D2 ?* [3 T$ RI/S items * 100 = % # W$ p$ w7 P8 [- s% [7 x0 T
Sales
' }# @3 {( T/ z B! o/ M• Tells us it cost us X% of sales to make those sales v( M( I$ a% A) Y) d
– Return on Investment/Equity
3 S! Y0 f8 d6 i5 V, R; D$ zProfit ATB4D = %
6 c7 W- a7 \8 X) i3 E- N; K* r h4 K& GAverage Equity# q1 ^0 q3 V- y1 @* ?9 w1 \
[(Yr. 1 E + Yr. 2 E)/2]" f& C5 D# J. x
• Tells us how much profit we made relative to the investment made by the owners
0 Z! U' r+ m9 H7 _- q
& c& B) W9 k- y8 c8 ^+ E; x• Stability;0 v5 f* b! u3 t: j. g& F& b
– Net Worth: Total Assets
5 `7 ^) p8 o9 vTotal Equity = %
7 o1 o" B8 I$ D5 X0 c/ P- eTotal Assets
+ A$ L3 b$ m( `4 {; b3 ?1 S3 }• tells us what % of assets were financed through owner’s money. N- u+ h8 i: a W0 _
– Debt to Assets
- ^* w& F& V* x( _# J/ X3 YTotal Debt = %
. ?8 S2 |+ c1 O8 [9 VTotal Assets' h3 O, n8 B+ A
• Tells us what % of the assets were financed through debt
3 _" g2 W4 ], m& x0 w9 ^" |; D4 L– Interest Coverage
8 B/ N2 y/ n9 R. _$ V EBIT = # times
0 O q& i1 z- e: w7 ]( AInterest Expense2 U) ]$ X2 F/ }
• tells us how many times we can pay interest; g8 |0 A- V! x: N/ k4 ^6 f9 B9 A
+ O3 k; e0 K* b! }• Liquidity;" N) i) f; N- m1 f# n% P
– Current Ratio
% O' o3 {2 _8 |+ I5 S9 d8 nCurrent Assets = X:12 \' a, V1 q7 d# @$ T
Current Liabilities! s# \$ c1 a, G) J( O5 I7 R, O& y
• Tells us, if we liquidated all our current assets, how many times we can pay our debts
7 I- [2 G% r1 g; E `; y( IRULE OF THUMB: 2:1
2 q* Q: i( e" X. [– Acid Test% u2 q) J# e" `
Cash + M/S + A/R = X:1. ]/ l8 o, i% Q) X: ~
Current Liabilities
% z. S+ y. r7 B• Tells us how many times we can pay our debts with the money easily available to us
; K! q/ w6 g! M7 c2 ORULE OF THUMB: 1:15 c# w' S" U1 O
, T- h: A/ M1 t( _" D' l `– Working Capital
! Z. h7 C H* o0 @2 `/ ?C.A - C.L = $X
8 z% r# `3 H7 `; J: G& }+ b; P• Tells us how much money we have to work with AFTER s-t debts are paid- X% E1 R& }8 K4 O* W/ ^. ?
, G' f0 N5 g: X: m" T: VEfficiency;
2 c! k* k* N/ ^0 s2 o– Age of Receivables% S3 h! {; z: |& t( G; V
Accounts Receivabl = # Days3 q1 I6 Q- E6 E- l2 K
(Sales / 365): L3 {( ?; s/ a+ F* P% a
• Tells us how long it takes us to collect our $$6 ^) m! {% o: i' }8 `0 c7 `* |
# m8 S$ K. p1 j/ R8 W% ~– Age Of Payables
8 Z" q( z1 L( g! _2 g+ g0 lAccounts Payable = # Days7 i; P* j# u. q q
(Purchases* / 365)/ r1 t# V8 q8 a& u
• Tells us how long it takes us to pay our bills
2 \( J( n+ R" t2 |, D7 A( m3 j8 N+ J* w4 y1 n
– Age of Inventory, G- p0 z! o) J7 h6 \0 g+ Z
Inventory = # Days
, b: q/ G' ~3 U# q( E4 N9 M(COGS / 365)7 a& u* G7 _7 o( F) x! Y. @7 B
• Tells us how long we are holding on to our inventory in the warehouse
0 I% v# O5 M+ v' |$ ?5 O5 a
( M$ p) D4 c( u; ~3 \, O; d+ j• Growth;
' G, p( z6 F! A' B. t& L- w– Sales7 q, L8 p- `; _* q& e" G) B* z
– Net Income
0 L. C" h) N+ J3 X! \0 n' g+ m– Total Assets
, k% j# P2 f, E$ k3 i# v9 r+ u– Equity
+ T0 J7 V ?" i( c% RYr. 2 - Yr. 1 = %% K1 G( P* t# N$ q! e
Yr. 1* k! V1 G$ H+ h0 b- K, }. _
• Tells us whether the accounts are growing (and hence the company)
! j v- m3 j# k
N5 p) X3 f, L% E0 j- XUnderstanding Ratios
( [ S4 C6 n+ |/ y( Z' l! R• DO NOT CONCLUDE THAT “THE RATIO IS GOOD/BAD”$ E& K- S; l [% J
• Either the NUMERATOR or the DENOMINATOR affects the ratio
% J# x/ H: K4 E! L# _" R' |$ [• Ask yourself: “WHY HAS THE RATIO CHANGED & WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?”
4 I0 d5 m9 _: x6 V1 F5 c4 |– Which number caused the change?/ M! \9 t$ i% @8 l
– Look for increasing or decreasing trends over time.8 H& k! {0 B7 ~, x- p: L
– Will these trends continue?
0 l9 \% C' c" W5 a7 F– How does the company compare to the industry?: R( x! `& W: M' d/ V3 S
+ R2 J& J; U( l! _+ f: F6 E# f( `; i- |$ }! ~' \
Classifying Costs
( D# a8 @% E$ h S6 o" z) k• Variable Costs: T: D7 K7 G9 g0 W
– a cost incurred with every unit sold/produced (volume)& O" b' a; J9 b& q+ f) r. r$ e5 R7 w
• Fixed Costs
. N: t2 ?" M& `9 f! r z– cost that does not vary with volume |
|